Stockcast by Blank Space Studio

Stockcast Market Briefing

2026-09-24 · Updated 07:27 TST
35
F&G Fear
15.18
VIX 正常
0/6
Signal Count
~$1.2B
Foreign Flows
Market Status / Thermometer
Normal Pullback
0/6
Signals
📖 逐字稿專區
01
Fear & Greed
Fear & Greed Index
35
Fear
目前區間:Fear · 25-45
X FearFearNeutralGreedX Greed 0255075100 NOW 35
目前落點
Fear區
Sentiment偏向Fear,市場出現防守傾向,但尚未達極端。
25-45
Source: CNN Fear & Greed · 前收 35
02
VIX
VIX Panic Dial
15.18
正常
目前區間:正常 · 12-20
Low Vol正常AlertPanic 012203050 NOW 15.18
目前落點
正常波動區
波動率在正常區間,市場Sentiment尚屬穩定。
12-20
Source: Yahoo ^VIX · Prev Close 14.87 · 變動 ▲0.3
03
Market Thermometer
Macro Data面BLS · Fed · NYMEX(皆為公開資料)
CPI 年增3.13%較上期 +0.06上期 3.07% · 2026-August
失業率4.1%持平上期 4.1% · 2026-August
WTI 原油92.24五日 -9.9%紐約期油近月 · 即時
下次 FOMC34 天2026-10-28 決議Source: Fed 官方行事曆
本週美股財報6 檔 · 含市場共識
本週美股財報Nasdaq 行事曆 · 市值前段 · 估值為分析師共識
09/24 四今日
COST盤後 · 估 $6.4811 家估
DRI盤前 · 估 $2.0611 家估
SNX盤前 · 估 $4.465 家估
09/29 二
CCL盤前 · 估 $1.367 家估
09/30 三
MU盤後 · 估 $31.2410 家估
JBL盤前 · 估 $3.864 家估
下次數據的情境對照開獎後怎麼看
下次數據的情境對照系統依Macro傳導關係推導 · 非投資建議
CPI 年增基準 3.13%(前值)
開獎區間方向受影響類股部位原則
> 3.33%高於基準
偏空降息預期後延,實質利率走高
長天期科技成長股承壓;金融、能源相對抗跌
不追高;獲利較薄的部位優先減碼
2.93–3.33%貼近基準
Neutral降息路徑不變,焦點回到財報
無系統性方向,個股財報主導
維持既有配置,等財報開獎
< 2.93%低於基準
偏多降息空間打開,風險偏好回升
科技成長、非必需消費彈性較大
分批而非一次;留意Sentiment由樂觀轉Greed
失業率基準 4.1%(前值)
開獎區間方向受影響類股部位原則
> 4.30%高於基準
偏多就業轉弱強化降息預期,但衰退風險同步升高
利率敏感的成長股先反應;景氣循環股承壓
留意這是壞消息當好消息,不宜放大部位
3.90–4.30%貼近基準
Neutral勞動市場穩定,政策節奏不變
無明確輪動方向
維持既有配置
< 3.90%低於基準
偏空就業過強推遲降息,殖利率易上行
高評價成長股首當其衝
檢視高評價部位的風險敞口
F&G
Fear區
35
目前區間:25-45 · 亮燈Threshold < 25
CNN Fear & Greed 的 0-100 Sentiment區間。
VIX
正常波動區
15.2
目前區間:12-20 · 亮燈Threshold > 28
波動率Index,用 50 當上限,30 以上視為Panic。
RSI
Neutral
54.3
目前區間:54 · 亮燈Threshold < 35
用 SPY RSI 14 看短線Sentiment是否過度壓縮。
200MA
強勢突破均線
+7.5%
目前區間:> 0% · 亮燈Threshold < -5%
看 SPY 相對 200MA 的偏離是否到逆向區。
回撤
輕微回撤
-1.1%
目前區間:-1.1% · 亮燈Threshold < -12%
看 52 週回撤是否進到極端風險壓力。
融資
持平
+0.40%
目前區間:+0.40% · 亮燈Threshold < -2%
證交所官方大盤融資餘額日變化,急縮代表散戶去槓桿/斷頭。
Sentiment Temp 0/6 · F&G <25 · VIX >28 · RSI <35 · SPY 200MA <-5% · 52週回撤 <-12% · 融資餘額日減 <-2%
Source: CNN F&G · Yahoo ^VIX · Yahoo SPY · AI 判斷
04
Major Indices
IndexLastChg
TWSE Index^TWII47,718.84▲1.14%
S&P 500^GSPC7,706.03▼0.76%
NASDAQ 100^NDX26,936.04▼0.69%
USD/TWDUSDTWD=X31.79▲0.34%
Dollar IndexDXY101.11▲0.68%
WTI CrudeCL=F92.24▼2.48%
GoldGC=F4,325.90▼1.15%
05
Macro Data
US 10Y Yield5.11%
13W T-bill Yield4.03%
10Y-13W Spread+1.086% Normal
Fed Funds (approx.)4.03%
06
TWSE Institutional Flows
Foreign~$1.2B
Investment Trust~$-148M
Dealers~$181M
07
Market Read
Sentiment
Fear 🟡
Rate Cycle
high-rate environment(EFFR 4.03%),pressuring valuations
Dividend Yield Curve
Normal (+1.086%),curve back to positive slope
08
Advisor Panels
TOP-DOWN · MACRO-FIRST
Haojiao Macro Brief
100 transcript episodes + 200 analysis reports
EFFR 4.03% — high-rate environment
Rate-cut expectations remain the key swing factor for this move.
Yield Curve +1.086% — Normal
The curve is positive again, recession risk is lower, and liquidity conditions are acceptable.
Foreign net buying of Taiwan stocks +~$1.16B
Foreign net inflows, improved chip distribution, favorable for Taiwan stock performance
VIX 15.2 — Market stable
Low volatility, suitable for normal allocation
Haojiao View
The macro environment is improving, and the funding conditions are favorable, so we can actively build positions in batches.
BOTTOM-UP · CONTRARIAN
GooayeAI
167 transcript episodes
F&G 35 — Fear
Sentiment is slightly pessimistic, with opportunities for gradual positioning.
RSI(14) 54.3 — Healthy
Momentum is normal, trend structure is good.
200MA deviation +7.5%
Price remains near its long-term average and trend structure is intact.
Gooaye View
Sentiment and technicals are improving together; stock picking is reasonable but stops should stay tight.
📈
Synthesis · Haojiao × Gooaye
Active Deployment
Macro
Sentiment
Technical
F&G 35 (Fear), RSI 54.3, EFFR 4.03%, yield curve normal. Stockcast and Gooaye views converge; recommend aggressive scaling in.
本集立場 · 財經皓角 08/078 個標的 · 0 明說 / 8 推論
標的立場論點出處催化劑
晶片股Neutral晶片股已大幅上漲需休整,短期仍Neutral但整體勢頭仍向上推論基本面買盤持續與盈餘公布
道瓊斯IndexNeutral道瓊斯Index創新高後出現回跌,未顯示明確趨勢推論
標普500IndexNeutral標普500Index持續創新高,但近期小幅下跌,市場仍在Neutral推論
納斯達克IndexNeutral納指未創新高且小幅下跌,短期走勢不明朗推論
記憶體產業Neutral記憶體需求仍高於供給,產能擴張與長期合約支撐未來供應推論
SanDiskNeutralSanDisk 財報不差但股價跌6%,主要因市場預期變化推論
元大台灣 50Bullish元大台灣 50 大量資金流入,顯示投資人對台股持續看好推論
台股 ETFBullish台股 ETF 吸金創新高,買盤強勁,預期資金將持續流入推論
節目彩蛋開車 · 故事 · 比喻
節目彩蛋 · 財經皓角 09/237 段 · 引文均已比對逐字稿
開車/黃腔2 段
花天酒地、頻繁性交並不會短命,但是你上班、加班、熬夜、應酬,更容易短命。
出現時機:在討論企業過度擴張與守成之間的平衡時,用極端的個人生活方式作對比。
為什麼人類的情侶可以互看生殖器,但是卻不能夠互看手機?後來想通了,如果生殖器會留下使用記錄,那你以後也不能看了。
出現時機:在討論 AI 使用紀錄與隱私保護(Anthropic 監控使用者提問)時,引用網路段子做類比。
小故事2 段
我那時候看了一下畫面,穆迪還問他說:『你還好嗎?還好嗎?』後來我看了好像應該還好,我在想可能是心悸,因為要調時差,那現在到美國可能喝咖啡會心悸、心臟痛一下。
出現時機:分析川習會前夕,習近平與莫迪會面時傳出身體不適的傳聞。
突然想到史迪奇為什麼不能喝咖啡?因為他是『心悸寶貝』。
出現時機:在討論習近平可能因時差心悸時,插播的一個冷笑話諧音梗(星際寶貝)。
比喻3 段
輝達在過去幾個月,正在逐步變成AI產業的中央銀行。
出現時機:解釋輝達透過大量投資新創公司並提供融資支援,在生態系中掌握資金與資源分配權。
手指頭切菜不小心四根手指頭都切掉了,醫生還問他:『你感覺怎麼樣?』他比一個讚。這樣子就是有時候我們講說,你只要獲利沒有一起斷掉,這個市場就還有理由撐著。
出現時機:用斷指比喻市場面臨的四大重大利空(油價、殖利率、AI支出、資金退潮)。
銀行員備潤1970年第一臺ATM誕生所有人都覺得完了死了銀行也要正式收縮大財源開始了想不到銀行分點更多了
出現時機:用 ATM 的歷史解釋新Technical出現不代表需求消失。
立場軌跡7 個標的 · 跨集比對
立場軌跡 · 近 6 集左舊 → 右新 · 斜線=該集未提及
TSMC轉折 · 提及 3/6 集
Bullish
晶片股轉折 · 提及 2/6 集
Neutral
標普500Index轉折 · 提及 2/6 集
Neutral
納斯達克Index持續 · 提及 2/6 集
Neutral
美債持續 · 提及 2/6 集
Neutral
美國股市持續 · 提及 2/6 集
Bullish
記憶體股持續 · 提及 2/6 集
Neutral
BullishNeutral看空未提及
09
Podcast Briefs
🎙
Gooaye
EP698 · 2026-09-19
Extracted Apple Podcast ↗
⚠️ 5d old (2026-09-19)
🎮
Mentioned Assets
MarvellMRVLBullish
AMD看空
NVIDIABullish
TSMCBullish
CrowdStrikeCRWDNeutral
提到產業
AI 伺服器AI 硬體需求強勁,但成本結構複雜,包含代工、封裝與被動元件成本共享。
Semiconductors封裝與測試(AIC)漲價主要來自 AIC(板卡製造商)與被動元件,而非單純晶圓代工。
高速板材材料(M4/M7/M8)材料升級爭議,實際應用受限於高速介面規格(PCIe Gen6/CXL),短期Panic非長期趨勢。
記憶體產業缺貨驅動討論,考量高疊層(8high/4high)成本與效能比,可能轉向 Edge device 或 offload 至
電源與功率SemiconductorsAI 伺服器功率需求討論,Rubin 等平台功耗預期低於先前設想,電源缺料可能緩解。
遊戲發行與開發電玩展觀察,發行商在行銷、法務與簽約中的角色,團隊成長性與跨國合作潛力。
網路安全間接提及 CrowdStrike 等安全議題,作為 AI 供應鏈安全考量之一。
01AI Supply Chain and Cost Structure
02Material Price Hikes and Technical Transformation
03Gaming Industry and Investment Outlook
04Long-term Care and the Value of Life Discussion
⚠️ Bullish and bearish tags are AI interpretations of the episode, not the host's official position. Make your own decisions.
📻
Haojiao Macro Brief
Latest Morning Brief · 2026-09-23
Extracted Apple Podcast ↗
⚠️ 1d old (2026-09-23)
本集重點
01AI industry expands from model wars to ecosystem and political battles; Meta and Amazon's AI agent controversy reflects future …
02Strong FOMO sentiment persists, but buying is highly concentrated. Individual stock gains have missed expectations, and funds have shifted to a net outflow.
03NVIDIA acts as the AI industry's central bank, building the ecosystem through startup investments and financing support, yet risks accumulate behind the scenes.
市場在FOMOSentiment驅動下持續上漲,但實際買盤弱,資金已轉為淨流出,個股漲幅未達預期,顯示股市「虛胖」。AI產業擴張已從Technical層面進入生態與政治層面,未來消費入口將由AI助理掌握。輝達作為AI產業的關鍵玩家,雖有強大投資與融資模式,但背後風險累積,若算力需求減弱,將面臨銷售與估值壓力。企業需在擴張與穩健之間取得平衡,過度投資可能導致財務危機,過度保守則錯失科技浪潮。
🚗 開車片段
花天酒地頻繁性交並不會短命,但是你上班加班熬夜應酬更容易短命。所以現在就是你要決定你到底是瘋狂的支出瘋狂的擴張自己的AI投資還是你就好好做自己的本業沒有兩種極端你都在中間找平衡。
🔬
What IEO Sees
TG Updated 2026-09-02 · Podcast EP72
Extracted Apple Podcast ↗
TG Last貼文(2026-09-02)
01Broadcom AI Chip Surge: Broadcom AI Semiconductor revenue grew 221% YoY, with the market expected to reach ~$7.1B by 2028 and potential demand from six customers nearing 30GW.
02Nvidia Revenue Growth Accelerates: Nvidia quarterly revenue hit $96.2B, up 106% YoY; 70% growth projected for 2027, emphasizing supply constraints rather than demand ceilings.
03Marvell上修成長預期:Marvell將2027年營收預估上修至~$558M美元,資料中心營收年增75%,受益於光互連與客製化晶片。
Podcast Last集(EP72・2026-04-09)
EP.72 AI Evolves into the Strongest Hacker: Doomsday or a Century's Opportunity for Cybersecurity Companies?
Mentioned Assets
NIMNIMNeutral
01What IEO Sees EP72 Analysis Original Title: EP.72 AI Evolves into the Ultimate
0224 06:15 Source: proofread_cache 逐字稿長度: 5487 字
Sources: GooayeAI · Haojiao Macro Brief · IEObserve · For reference only
09.5
KOL Watch
12New
8Tickers
4Stance flips
0Divergence
Today's Changes
Stance flips
Divergence
No flips or divergence today

Showing 8 tickers · 12 mentions

NVDABulls dominate · 2 KOLs · 2 bull / 0 bear
@aleabitoredditNeutral

So update from $LITE + Win Semi ( $SIVE ) foundry: Lumentum in a meeting with Stifel at ECOC 2026 stated: - $NVDA Spectrum-6 CPO UHP demands increased materially. - NPO as larger than CPO, with multi-wavelength external lasers lifting ASPs (Sivers offers multi wave length

AI read|Mentioned in the context of increasing demand for its Spectrum-6 CPO UHP products.
09-23 22:14Original post
@PhotonCapBullish

- IonQ $IONQ announced that its Superion 256 will be deployed at the NVIDIA $NVDA Accelerated Quantum Research Center, or NVAQC, becoming the center's first on-premise QPU deployment. - Superion 256 will be directly connected to an NVIDIA ( $NVDA ) GB200 NVL72 system through

AI read|The company is integrating its hardware with IonQ's quantum technology in a major research center.
09-23 21:39Original post
@PhotonCapBullish

Memory Long AI Model Companies 'Directly Purchasing' Memory…Anthropic's DRAM Demand to Reach 'NVIDIA Scale' Next Year, Buying 20% Directly

AI read|The text compares Anthropic's DRAM demand to NVIDIA scale, implying high demand in the AI ecosystem.
09-24 05:00Original post
SIVEBulls dominate · 2 KOLs · 2 bull / 0 bear
@aleabitoredditBullish

So update from $LITE + Win Semi ( $SIVE ) foundry: Lumentum in a meeting with Stifel at ECOC 2026 stated: - $NVDA Spectrum-6 CPO UHP demands increased materially. - NPO as larger than CPO, with multi-wavelength external lasers lifting ASPs (Sivers offers multi wave length

AI read|The company is positioned to benefit from multi-wavelength external laser demand.
09-23 22:14Original post
@PhotonCapBullish

Go $SIVE

AI read|The user is explicitly calling for a move up on the stock.
09-23 15:13Original post
AVGOCautious · 1 KOLs · 0 bull / 1 bear
@PhotonCapBearish

- China conducting audit of $AVGO equipment amid domestic AI chip advancement efforts - Potential regulatory scrutiny tied to US export controls on advanced semiconductors - Move reflects broader tension between Chinese AI infrastructure development and US technology restrictions

AI read|Regulatory scrutiny and audits related to export controls pose a risk to the company's operations.
09-23 15:12Original post
MUBulls dominate · 2 KOLs · 1 bull / 0 bear
@aleabitoredditBullish

I’ve actually entered positions in many tiny Korean companies recently… That actively supply memory, test, machines, etc. to $MU , $SKHY , Samsung, and others like $SMTC + US companies. It’s pretty interesting what you find in the $30-$250m range for optical components, CPUs,

AI read|The author is actively taking positions in the supply chain related to memory.
09-24 00:01Original post
@PhotonCapNeutral

- $MU's Taiwan fab construction consumed 300,000 c…

AI read|The post mentions a specific construction fact regarding their Taiwan facilities.
09-23 23:40Original post
AMDLeaning bullish · 1 KOLs · 1 bull / 0 bear
@PhotonCapBullish

$AMD joined 1T club

AI read|Joining the 1T club indicates significant market growth and success.
09-23 06:30Original post
SKHYLeaning bullish · 1 KOLs · 1 bull / 0 bear
@aleabitoredditBullish

I’ve actually entered positions in many tiny Korean companies recently… That actively supply memory, test, machines, etc. to $MU , $SKHY , Samsung, and others like $SMTC + US companies. It’s pretty interesting what you find in the $30-$250m range for optical components, CPUs,

AI read|The author is actively taking positions in the supply chain related to SK Hynix.
09-24 00:01Original post
MRVLLeaning bullish · 1 KOLs · 1 bull / 0 bear
@PhotonCapBullish

- $MRVL is demonstrating a 102.4 Tbps CPO platform at ECOC, using 200G/lane silicon photonics, 6.4 Tbps optical engines, and detachable ELSFPs. - The platform directly targets the reach and power limitations of copper as AI scale-up networks expand. > $MRVL is moving beyond

AI read|The company is demonstrating advanced CPO technology to address AI scaling challenges.
09-23 23:55Original post
LITELeaning bullish · 1 KOLs · 1 bull / 0 bear
@aleabitoredditBullish

So update from $LITE + Win Semi ( $SIVE ) foundry: Lumentum in a meeting with Stifel at ECOC 2026 stated: - $NVDA Spectrum-6 CPO UHP demands increased materially. - NPO as larger than CPO, with multi-wavelength external lasers lifting ASPs (Sivers offers multi wave length

AI read|The company is reporting increased demand for high-performance products in the CPO space.
09-23 22:14Original post
Tracked accounts
@PhotonCapPhotonCap
@dylan522pDylan Patel
@GavinSBakerGavin Baker
Stances are AI inferences from public posts. Not investment advice.
11
Industry Pulse
⛓️
產業鏈快覽
Stockcast 研究整理 · 16 條產業鏈
Updated 2026-09-18 · 圖像 reused 0 / rebuilt 16
🔗 光通訊 / CPO / 1.6T ▼ 展開報告
AI 資料中心互連從 800G 進入 1.6T,光連結與 OCS 已從題材轉為實際營收與產能擴張。
LITE · COHR · AAOI · AXTI
驗證 2026-09-18
01InP/光材料
02雷射/光引擎
03800G/1.6T 模組與 OCS
04Ethernet/AI fabric switch
05hyperscaler / AI factory
LITECOHRAAOIAXTI
💎 矽光子代工 / SiPho FRESH_WITH_SOURCE_GAP ▼ 展開報告
Tower 的公司財務已更新到 2026 Q2,但舊版『85% 市佔』等產業市佔數字缺當期可核驗來源,已移除。
TSEM
驗證 2026-09-18
01SiPho/光電 IC 設計
02SiPho/SiGe 晶圓代工
03封裝/測試
04光引擎/模組
05AI 網路
TSEM
⚙️ Semiconductors設備 ▼ 展開報告
先進製程、HBM 與先進封裝把 wafer-fab equipment 拉入新一輪高強度投資。
ASML · AMAT · LRCX · KLAC
驗證 2026-09-18
01ASML 光刻 / AMAT 沉積材料工程 / LRCX 蝕刻 / KLAC 檢測
02foundry & memory fabs
03advanced node / HBM / packaging
ASMLAMATLRCXKLAC
🪟 玻璃基板 / Advanced Substrate FRESH_REFRAMED ▼ 展開報告
玻璃基板仍屬中長期先進封裝路線;目前 Corning 的實際成長核心是 AI 光通訊,不應把其光通成長直接等同玻璃基板量產。
GLW · AMAT
驗證 2026-09-18
01特種玻璃
02TGV/金屬化
03substrate / advanced packaging
04large AI package
GLWAMAT
🏗️ AI Fab / Mega-fab Infrastructure HOLD_RESEARCH ▼ 展開報告
舊版以 Terafab 為核心的敘事缺足夠當期一手證據,不再當作已成立產業鏈。先保留為觀察題材,等待正式資本支出、選址或合約。
J · FLR · ACM · PWR · EMR · XYL · ECL
驗證 2026-09-18
01工程設計/EPC
02電力
03水/冷卻
04cleanroom
05tool install
JFLRACMPWREMRXYLECL
🧠 AI Compute / GPU / Custom ASIC ▼ 展開報告
2026 的核心變化已從單純 GPU 成長變成『GPU + CPU + scale-up/scale-out networking + custom ASIC』整套 AI factory。
NVDA · AVGO · MRVL · AMD
驗證 2026-09-18
01AI model / agent workloads
02CPU/GPU/custom ASIC
03HBM & interconnect
04advanced foundry/packaging
05AI server/rack
06cloud/enterprise
NVDAAVGOMRVLAMD
功率Semiconductors / AI Power Tree ▼ 展開報告
舊版偏車用/工控;2026 新增最重要脈絡是 AI data center power tree,從高壓配電到 rack-level power conversion。
ON · IFNNY · NVTS · POWI · MCHP · 2308.TW
驗證 2026-09-18
01utility / UPS
02high-voltage conversion
03rack power shelf
04board-level power
05GPU/CPU
ONIFNNYNVTSPOWIMCHP2308.TW
🛡️ 網路安全 / AI SaaS / Agentic Software ▼ 展開報告
AI 軟體需求已從『加一個 Copilot』進入平台化、agentic workflow 與 AI security 的第二階段。
CRWD · PLTR · NET · NOW · CRM · OKTA · SNOW
驗證 2026-09-18
01enterprise data
02security/governance
03AI model/agent layer
04workflow/application
05measurable business outcome
CRWDPLTRNETNOWCRMOKTASNOW
🏭 先進製程 / Foundry / Memory ▼ 展開報告
AI demand 讓 leading-edge silicon 與 memory 都進入更High Growth,但 foundry、HBM、先進封裝應拆開追蹤,不能再用一張卡混成單一產業。
TSM · MU · INTC · GFS · 2454.TW
驗證 2026-09-18
01AI IC design
02leading-edge foundry
03HBM/DRAM
04advanced packaging
05AI rack
TSMMUINTCGFS2454.TW
🏢 Hyperscaler / AI Platform ▼ 展開報告
舊版缺少 2026 最重要的 Oracle OCI 供應增長,也低估 hyperscaler capacity constraint 與 RPO 的重要性。
MSFT · GOOGL · ORCL · AAPL
驗證 2026-09-18
01power/site
02datacenter capacity
03GPU/CPU/networking
04cloud AI services
05enterprise/consumer agents/apps
MSFTGOOGLORCLAAPL
📱 Edge AI / Automotive / Connected Compute FRESH_PARTIAL ▼ 展開報告
高通的研究已從 2024 更新到 FY26 Q3;MediaTek仍需補官方Last季度資料,因此 candidate 會標 partial 而不是假裝整條已完成。
QCOM · 2454.TW
驗證 2026-09-18
01SoC/IP
02foundry
03device/vehicle platform
04edge AI software/runtime
05end user
QCOM2454.TW
🧬 腫瘤研究服務 / Translational Models CORRECTED ▼ 展開報告
舊版把 CSBR 錯寫成『臨床階段癌症免疫療法公司、營收為零』。實際 Champions Oncology 是腫瘤研究模型與轉譯研究服務公司。
CSBR
驗證 2026-09-18
01patient-derived oncology models / data
02preclinical & translational research service
03biopharma R&D decision support
CSBR
🌐 NEW · AI Networking Fabric / Scale-up & Scale-out ▼ 展開報告
AI networking 已從交換器附屬品升格為 AI factory 核心:scale-up、scale-out、scale-across 與 1.6T fabric 同時擴張。
ANET · NVDA · AVGO · MRVL
驗證 2026-09-18
01XPU
02scale-up fabric
03scale-out Ethernet/InfiniBand
04optical links
05rack/cluster orchestration
ANETNVDAAVGOMRVL
🔌 NEW · AI Data Center Power / Grid / Cooling ▼ 展開報告
2026 新瓶頸已從『買不到 GPU』擴張到『拿不到電、配電與冷卻 capacity』;這條鏈應獨立於功率Semiconductors。
GEV · ETN · VRT · ON
驗證 2026-09-18
01grid/generation
02transformer/switchgear
03UPS & power conversion
04liquid cooling / heat rejection
05rack power
06XPU
GEVETNVRTON
🧠 NEW · HBM / AI Memory / Memory Infrastructure ▼ 展開報告
Agentic inference 把瓶頸從 GPU 算力延伸到 memory bandwidth、memory capacity 與 CPU/GPU 周邊 memory infrastructure。
MU · MRVL · TSM · NVDA
驗證 2026-09-18
01DRAM/HBM wafer
02HBM stack/package
03memory controller/interconnect
04accelerator/CPU
05context memory / AI storage
MUMRVLTSMNVDA
☁️ NEW · AI Cloud Capacity / Agentic Inference ▼ 展開報告
2026 cloud AI 的核心指標已不是單純雲端市佔,而是 GPU/CPU capacity、MW 上線速度、RPO 與 agent/inference consumption。
ORCL · MSFT · GOOGL · NVDA
驗證 2026-09-18
01power & land
02datacenter shell
03accelerators/CPU/network/optics
04cloud capacity
05model/agent inference
06enterprise workloads
ORCLMSFTGOOGLNVDA
IEObserve Global Economics Watch · 近期 0 則重點
STALE
內容 09/02 15:13 · 抓取 09/24 07:20
已隱藏 5 則超過 14 天舊貼文
📌上游未更新
No new posts on IEObserve Telegram recently.
Posts older than 14 days are no longer displayed on the homepage; Apple Podcasts continues to use the last podcast cache.
Source: IEObserve Global Economics Watch · AI 自動摘要 · 近期 0 則
Open channel →
10
國會交易追蹤
🏛️
Congressional Disclosure Radar
House Clerk + Senate eFD · official public filings
event time = filed_date · latest 20 rows
MEMBERS
103
目前 cache
BUY
$178.2M
1670 筆
SELL
$136.2M
1597 筆
近期 ticker:MSFT ×58 · AAPL ×42 · NVDA ×36 · GOOGL ×30 · AMZN ×30
FILEDMEMBERTICKER / ASSETSIDEDISCLOSED MIDTX DATEGAP
2026-09-22
Pete Sessions
HOUSE
AAPL
Apple Inc. - Common Stock (AAPL) [ST]
SELL$175K2026-09-220d
2026-09-22
Sheri Biggs
HOUSE
Bank of Nova Scotia [CS]
BUY$750K2026-09-0121d
2026-09-22
Sheri Biggs
HOUSE
ALPHAKEYS BLACKSTONE LIFE SCIENCES VI LP [HN]
BUY$8K2026-08-3122d
2026-09-22
Sheri Biggs
HOUSE
Apollo Debt Solutions BDC Class S [OT]
BUY$8K2026-08-2825d
2026-09-22
Sheri Biggs
HOUSE
Bank of Nova Scotia [CS]
SELL$750K2026-08-1934d
2026-09-22
Richard W. Allen
HOUSE
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. - Common Stock (AVGO) [ST]
BUY$8K2026-08-1241d
2026-09-22
Richard W. Allen
HOUSE
ROL
Rollins, Inc. Common Stock (ROL) [ST]
SELL$32K2026-08-1241d
2026-09-22
Richard W. Allen
HOUSE
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) [ST]
BUY$8K2026-08-1241d
2026-09-21
A. Mitchell McConnell, Jr.
SENATE
WFC
Wells Fargo & Company Common Stock
BUY$32K2026-09-0120d
2026-09-21
Scott H. Peters
HOUSE
New York, NY City COMB TX [GS]
SELL$750K2026-08-3121d
2026-09-21
Scott H. Peters
HOUSE
U.S. Treasury Bill [GS]
SELL$75K2026-08-3121d
2026-09-21
Scott H. Peters
HOUSE
Irvine Ranch CA WRSR UTIL [GS]
BUY$175K2026-08-2032d
2026-09-21
Scott H. Peters
HOUSE
Petaluma CA WASTE SWR UTIL [GS]
BUY$750K2026-08-1933d
2026-09-21
Scott H. Peters
HOUSE
Energy Northwest WA PWR UTIL [GS]
SELL$750K2026-08-1339d
2026-09-21
Scott H. Peters
HOUSE
U.S. Treasury Bill [GS]
SELL$75K2026-08-1339d
2026-09-21
Scott H. Peters
HOUSE
U.S. Treasury Bill [GS]
SELL$75K2026-08-1339d
2026-09-21
Scott H. Peters
HOUSE
UNIV CA PUB EDUC [GS]
BUY$750K2026-08-1339d
2026-09-21
Scott H. Peters
HOUSE
Kent Street O&M Holdings LLC [OT]
BUY$175K2026-08-1240d
2026-09-21
Scott H. Peters
HOUSE
U.S. Treasury Bill [GS]
BUY$375K2026-08-1042d
2026-09-21
Scott H. Peters
HOUSE
West VY Mission CMN EDUC [GS] * For the complete list of asset type abbreviations, please visit https://fd.house.gov/reference/asset-type-codes.aspx.
BUY$375K2026-08-0646d
Source: U.S. House Clerk Financial Disclosure / PTR + U.S. Senate eFD。金額為官方申報區間中點,僅供研究索引;事件時間固定使用 filed_date,避免 look-ahead bias。
10.5
川普政府追蹤
🇺🇸
川普政府追蹤
33 人名單(家族 / 內閣 / 白宮+情報 / 獨立機構 / Musk)· Federal Register 政策動向 · 每日 06:30 更新
12
Sector Leaders
Sector peers inferred from the episode's themes and names, so the page shows broader leaders instead of only directly mentioned stocks.
🤖 AI Infrastructure
Based on topics mentioned in Gooaye: nvidia、amd
NVIDIA NVDA~80%
Broadcom AVGO~25%
Microsoft MSFTHyperscaler
Meta METAHyperscaler
🖥️ Server / Networking Supply Chain
Based on topics mentioned in Gooaye: 供應鏈
鴻海 2317.TW~40%
廣達 2382.TW~30%
緯創 3231.TW~20%
奇鋐 3017.TW~15%
12.5
股癌產業鏈追蹤
跨集蒸餾 EP691–EP698 · 敘事推估,非投資建議
Fund Rotation: Three-Bucket Positioning
🔥 資金輪動中
個股名
👁 長線壓艙石
長線Leader個股名
📌 等待回踩
等回踩個股名
All data sources
Data via CNN F&G + yfinance + TWSE API · Delay ≤15 min · For reference only, not investment advice
13
FAQ
What is Stockcast?
Stockcast is a daily financial morning report website integrating market heat, sentiment, volatility indicators, macro data, podcast summaries, financial notes, industry insights, and Congressional trade tracking, allowing investors to quickly grasp pre-market highlights on a single page.
When does Stockcast update?
It updates automatically at 04:00 and 08:00 Asia/Taipei; the latest refresh time on this page is 2026-09-24 07:27 TST。
Can Stockcast show market temperature, market sentiment, and pre-market highlights?
Yes. The page will organize Sentiment signals such as Fear & Greed, VIX, RSI, 200MA, and Put/Call as a quick summary of market temperature and pre-market highlights.
What are Stockcast's data sources?
The Morning Report primarily utilizes content from CNN Fear & Greed, Yahoo Finance, TWSE, official House Clerk and Senate eFD filings, IEObserve, and a pipeline generating local podcast transcriptions, verbatim records, and note summaries.
Does Stockcast have Gu Ai transcripts, Gu Ai notes, Hao Jiao transcripts, or financial notes?
Yes. The page organizes Stockcast podcast highlights, Financial Horn transcripts, and note summaries for quick lookup on a single page.
Can Stockcast track U.S. congressional trade disclosures?
Yes. Stockcast integrates official public disclosure data from the House Clerk and Senate eFD daily. It provides updated House/Senate transaction disclosures and filing dates, including buy/sell direction, transaction amount ranges, and filing dates, allowing investors to track US Congressional trading activity in real-time.
Does Stockcast have Haojiao Finance transcript or Yu Tinghao notes?
Yes. Stockcast automatically organizes daily highlights and market insights from the Financial Insights Podcast (hosted by Yu Ting-hao) every day. You can quickly browse daily financial analysis, macro observations, and investment logic from Financial Insights without needing to watch the full video.
What are Stockcast's market bottom signals?
Stockcast uses 5 objective market indicators: Fear & Greed extreme Fear (<25), VIX above 28, SPY RSI below 35, SPY 200-day moving average deviation below -5%, SPY 52-week pullback exceeding -12%. The more signals triggered, the closer the market is to a historically panicked bottom zone, which can serve as a reference backdrop for contrarian positioning.
Is Stockcast investment advice?
No. Stockcast is an information and market-observation product only. It is for reference and is not investment advice.
Market Briefing Summary
Stockcast refreshed at 2026-09-24. Current market briefing: Fear & Greed 35, VIX 15.18, signal count —. This page includes the market thermometer, major indices, macro data, premarket notes, Gooaye transcript notes, Haojiao finance notes, MacroMicro transcript notes, IEObserve industry pulse, and House/Senate congressional disclosure tracking.